Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Ryan Howard and baserunning, not a good combination. Part 2

Few days ago I summed up Howard's inept baserunning using a few sites that specialize in assigning run values to baserunning over the course of a season. Since many out there who don't quite understand how a skill like baserunning can be put into such simple terms, I'm going to dumb it down even further.

I find it ironic and humorous when I hear sports talk callers discuss not playing small ball or going first to third more often and then give a free pass to a player like Howard. Since people hopefully understand the concept of being able to take that extra base on a hit and the fact that it is Howard's main baserunning downfall, that's what I'll be discussing. For the sake of comparison, I'm going to use those who Howard gets compared most to- other first basemen around the league as well as two Phillies, Chase Utley and Jimmy Rollins. Fortunately, Baseball-Reference keeps track of such details.

For abbreviations:
1stS Total= Total times player on first when a single is hit.
1stS 3rd or H= Times player was on first, a single is hit and player reached third or scored
1stD Total= Total times player on first when double is hit.
1stD Home= Times player was on first, a double was hit, and player scored.
2ndS Total=  Total times player was on second when single was hit.
2ndS Home= Times player was on second, single was hit, and player scored.

Over the past two seasons:
1stS Total
1stS 3rd or H
%
1stD Total
1stD Home
%
2ndS Total
2ndS Home
%
Total extra %
Howard
44
4
9.09%
16
4
25.00%
30
9
30.00%
18.89%
Votto
76
25
32.89%
19
4
21.05%
35
17
48.57%
35.38%
Pujols
73
27
36.99%
13
1
7.69%
38
28
73.68%
45.16%
A. Gonzalez
64
8
12.50%
37
13
35.14%
41
17
41.46%
26.76%
Teixeira
55
8
14.55%
16
5
31.25%
24
13
54.17%
27.37%
Fielder
80
15
18.75%
23
5
21.74%
42
19
45.24%
26.90%
Konerko
74
6
8.11%
22
2
9.09%
17
6
35.29%
12.39%
Goldschmidt
39
10
25.64%
12
7
58.33%
32
19
59.38%
43.37%
D. Ortiz
53
8
15.09%
19
4
21.05%
34
15
44.12%
25.47%
Dunn
60
7
11.67%
15
2
13.33%
31
14
45.16%
21.70%
Rollins
72
22
30.56%
13
6
46.15%
39
29
74.36%
45.97%
Utley
34
22
64.71%
8
5
62.50%
22
17
77.27%
68.75%

Over the past two seasons, Howard is clearly worse than only Paul Konerko. If you've read Part 1, this isn't shouldn't be a surprise. I never hear anyone discuss baserunning specifically in regards to Howard, especially on talk radio, but while it is a smaller portion of a player's value compared to hitting, fielding, and position scarcity, these extra bases and less runs scored do add up.

Back in the early part of the season when the Phillies went through an awful stretch of scoring runners from third, those problems(bad luck) can be mitigated if players were able to score in the first place rather than relying on the next batter bringing him in. I realize that Howard was not a part of that time, but that does not change the point.

Talk radio and Howard diehards always fail to enlighten themselves at just how one dimensional he is, especially given his contract. But because he gets archaic RBIs, a veil is cast over their judgement. 

No comments:

Post a Comment