Saturday, March 10, 2012

Projecting 2012: Ryan Howard

There's noticeable differences between the various projection systems thanks to Ryan Howard's injury. Some have accounted for it, others have not. You can tell which are which. I will withhold any Ryan Howard-RBI jokes for another day, but I am not forecasting a good season for the "Big Piece." Tack on his poor baserunning and an expected drop in fielding range, and he may just be above replacement level come season's end.


System  

G

PA

AB

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

R

BB

K

SB

AVG

OBP

SLG

ISO

BABIP

2011

152

644

557

141

30

1

33

116

81

75

172

1

.253

.346

.488

.235

.303

ZIPS

144

630

540

134

26

3

32

113

79

67

173

2

.248

.335

.485

.237

.300

Marcel

-

584

516

134

26

3

28

98

76

58

150

4

.260

.339

.484

.225

.314

Steamer

-

471

409

105

23

2

25

77

64

54

125

1

.256

.347

.504

.249

.303

Bill James

155

675

594

158

30

2

40

128

92

81

189

1

.266

.360

.525

.259

.323

Rotochamp

-

331

290

73

15

1

17

44

42

37

90

1

.252

.344

.486

.234

.306

My own

108

460

409

102

20

1

21

75

58

47

126

1

.249

.332

.456

.207

.309

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